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🏛️ Latest U.S. Market Update 🇺🇸
The Fed just delivered another inflation surprise, projecting 2026 PCE inflation at 3.6%, suggesting price pressures could remain more persistent than expected.
Interest rates are currently at 3.50%–3.75%, while markets had been concerned about the possibility of further hikes.
However, weaker employment data has pushed the estimated probability of a September hike down to around 44%, giving risk assets — including crypto — some breathing room.
The bigger problem? Recession fears are returning.
Meanwhile, a stronger dollar and the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.1% continue to create headwinds for risk assets.
Potential beneficiaries:
🟢 Digital gold — $PAXG and $XAUT gained around 8.7% last week
🟢 Revenue-generating protocols — $UNI, $CRV
Under pressure:
🔴 Meme coins and political tokens
🔴 $CRO , which has fallen roughly 14% this week following Trump Media’s withdrawal from its deal with Crypto.com, reportedly involving around $361M in crypto
But there’s another development that may be getting overlooked:
🏛️ The U.S. Senate has advanced the Clarity Act, a proposed crypto market-structure framework, ahead of the August recess.
If it progresses, clearer regulation could become a meaningful long-term catalyst for the crypto industry — potentially marking another major policy win for the Trump administration following the stablecoin legislation.
My current view: $BTC could remain range-bound around $62K–$66K ahead of the next FOMC decision.
If regulatory momentum continues, assets that could benefit more directly from clearer market rules — such as $XRP and $ADA — may have an opportunity to outperform the broader market.
So what matters more to you right now?
📉 Interest-rate expectations
or
🏛️ Regulatory clarity?
$BTC $XRP $ADA $PAXG $XAUT
#AIInfraEarningsWatch #CPIToResetFedBets #AIInfraFundingDiverges
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