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Duan Yongping posted the day before yesterday saying SpaceX is an interesting company Yesterday SpaceX's stock price plummeted, and Duan Yongping directly stepped in According to his disclosure He sold 1,000 put options expiring on December 18, 2026, with a strike price of 115 He received a total premium of 2.31 million USD He used 11.5 million USD in margin According to his own calculation, this operation yields a 60% annualized return And if the stock price falls below 115 at expiration He can passively build a position in SpaceX at a cost of 92 USD No matter how you look at it, it's a very profitable deal I also sold SpaceX puts last night, with strike prices of 80 and 100 respectively The difference is my capacity only allows me to sell a few contracts Every time Mr. Duan makes a move, it's 1,000 contracts

Here's a common principle between poker tables and trading: position. With the same hand, your play is completely different when you're on the button versus under the gun—not because the cards changed, but because the amount of information you have changed. Trading is the same; even if you're bullish on $BTC, whether you enter after trend confirmation or take the lead betting on a rebound from deep oversold conditions, the risk you bear differs by orders of magnitude. Too many people only focus on "Am I right or not," but forget to ask "Is my position providing enough information, and is the risk-reward worthwhile?" Direction is the face-up cards, position is the hole cards. The players who last longest at the table aren't necessarily the best at reading cards, but those who best understand when to fold based on their position.

Trump firmly declares "Control the Strait, distrust Iran" — BTC $63,500 hanging by a thread! Key Summary: 1. Trump's core statements: · Claims the U.S. "controls the Strait of Hormuz," demonstrating military dominance; · Clearly states "distrust of Iran," closing the window for diplomatic easing. 2. Situation assessment: The U.S. stance hardens further, combined with Iran's previous statements on "nuclear issue complications" and "indefinite blockade of the Strait," leaving almost no room for compromise. The geopolitical confrontation escalates from "friction" to "structural conflict." 3. Impact on BTC (Bitcoin) and ETH (Ethereum): · BTC: $63,500 is the last line of defense. Currently, BTC is consolidating around $63,700, but Trump's "distrust" remarks completely dispel short-term reconciliation expectations, with oil prices and inflation pressures persisting. The $63,300-$63,700 long liquidation zone faces severe tests; if volume-driven break below $63,500 occurs, cascading long position liquidations will push the price rapidly down to the $62,000-$62,500 range. · ETH: $1,870 support is fragile. Its high beta characteristic causes deeper declines in risk-averse environments. If BTC breaks down, ETH may accelerate downward in sync toward $1,800-$1,820, even testing strong support at $1,750. · Core suppression logic: Persistent geopolitical confrontation → oil prices remain high → inflation expectations solidify → Fed rate cuts delayed → liquidity tightening expectations rise → systemic valuation downgrade of risk assets (including crypto). BTC's safe-haven narrative cannot function during early liquidity tightening. In one sentence: Trust collapses, the Strait tightens, coin prices under pressure. The geopolitical winter is not over; cash is king. ❄️ $BTC $ETH

Among the mainstream, $OKB shows the strongest trend, with $ADA and $CFX continuously attracting capital attention, while $BNB and $LINK remain relatively stable. If you don't want to trade mainstream coins, you can look at $GRVT and $HYPE. GRVT has recently surged in popularity with high volatility, so be cautious of risks; $HYPE has relatively healthy support. $FIL and $WLD remain weak and are not currently the main focus of capital. Existing funds are switching back and forth; it's easy to take profits after a surge, so avoid blindly chasing the rise and try to wait for pullback opportunities. Which one do you favor tonight? #财报观察员：AI基建财报接力登场 #现货ETF资金分化，BTC卖压仍在 #Strategy再卖1690枚BTC，企业财库出现分化

$ETH **ETH is cautiously bearish, $1,880, technicals deteriorate across the board** Current price is $1,880, basically flat over 24h. But don’t be fooled by the price; the underlying technicals are a complete mess. RSI dropped from 56 to 36 in one day, MACD has fully turned to strong sell, price is below all moving averages—MA20 at $1,883, MA50 at $1,905, MA200 at $2,045, three coffin lids pressing down hard. The 4-hour MACD death cross just formed, $1,870 (38.2% Fibonacci) has turned from support into resistance after breaking down. The $1,900-1,930 range trapped a huge number of longs; every rebound is an opportunity for them to exit. The ETF side doesn’t look good either. Yesterday, the ETH spot ETF saw a net outflow of $27.22 million in a single day, although the weekly net is still +$207 million, but funds are front-running ahead of CPI. Nansen data shows institutional spot buying surged 7.2 times, but derivatives remain net short—in other words, they are holding spot betting on CPI upside while hedging with futures, not genuinely bullish. The good news is Vitalik just updated the roadmap with the quantum security + privacy + native Rollup triple combo. Staking rate hit a historic high at 41.7M ETH. But these are long-term narratives and won’t save the short term. $1,854 is the last line of defense; if broken, look for $1,800 → $1,730 → $1,600. Only if $1,900 holds can we say it’s stabilized. CPI today will decide life or death.

Tonight at 8:30 PM, CPI decides everything! $BTC has fallen for three consecutive days. It was still at 65500 on Monday morning, but dropped to 63163 early today, a decline of nearly 2400 points. $ETH fell from 1938 to 1852, down 86 dollars. All the gains accumulated since NFP have been completely given back. Tonight at 8:30 PM, this continuous decline will either end or begin anew. What is the market betting on? The consensus expectation is a CPI year-over-year of 3.4%, down from the previous 3.5%. Core CPI is expected at 2.5%, down from 2.6%. If these numbers are realized, it means inflation continues to cool, and the probability of a rate hike in September will drop from the current 44%. Bears have built up a large amount of floating profit positions over these three days; once rate hike expectations collapse, buybacks from closing positions will cause a quick and strong rebound. But the market’s movement over the past three days tells another story — prices are pre-pricing in a "possibly unfavorable CPI." If not, BTC wouldn’t have been hammered for three consecutive nights without any negative news. The bears’ logic is: the sharp drop in June CPI from 4.2% to 3.5% was already an unexpected positive; it’s unlikely to happen again in July. Oil prices did fall after mid-July, but the average price remains high, and core inflation components like housing and wage transmission may not yet be reflected in prices. If CPI unexpectedly rebounds and rate hikes return, every bottom buy above 63000 in recent days will become trapped positions. The market odds are significant in both directions, which is why BTC has been hammered by bears for three nights but has not crashed — bulls are holding their ground near 63000, betting on CPI cooling. Three scenarios: CPI below 3.4%. Rate hike probability collapses, bears close positions in a chain reaction. BTC will most likely surge from around 63000 back to 64800 or even above 65000, with ETH simultaneously rallying from the 1850 area back above 1900. This is the most violent rebound scenario after three days of sharp declines. CPI at 3.4%, meeting expectations. The market will digest this for about half an hour and likely interpret it as a "mild positive" — inflation hasn’t worsened but there’s no surprise. BTC may bounce back to the 63800-64200 range, ETH to 1880-1900, but no one-sided breakout. CPI above 3.5%. Rate hike probability jumps, bears increase their positions. BTC’s 63163 level will most likely not hold; the next stop is 62800, and if 62800 breaks, then 62000. ETH’s 1852 level will also not hold, looking at 1820. This is the confirmation signal bears have been waiting for three days. Where are BTC and ETH now? BTC is near 63600, ETH near 1880. Both are a bit away from last night’s lows of 63163 and 1852, but farther from the resistance above. Bears have dominated for three days, but tonight’s direction depends not on technicals — it depends on that one number. Before 8:30 PM tonight, don’t tighten your positions too much. If the direction is right, everything will be fine; if wrong, three days of patience will be wasted. #财报观察员：AI基建财报接力登场 #本周三CPI公布，9月加息定价会改写吗？ #现货ETF资金分化，BTC卖压仍在

After tonight’s unlock passes, markets imo positioned for the next rapid leg up No stronger combination of growth and insane value than $PUMP. The only thing holding back a faster re-rating is people being slow to change their minds re revenue durability and re underwriting product progress and improvements to comms from the team PUMP buyback final — Aug. 11 UTC Total buybacks: $852,506 / 11,039.91 SOL PUMP bought and burned: 299.23M Transactions: 16,617 Comparison Aug. 10 ($829,187): +$23,319 / +2.8% Aug. 4, same weekday ($786,833): +$65,673 / +8.3% Prior trailing 7-day average ($739,940): +$112,566 / +15.2% Prior trailing 30-day average ($585,621): +$266,885 / +45.6%

Cryptocurrency prices since Trump took office: BTC: -50% ETH: -58% XRP: -70% SOL: -82% DOGE: -90% AVAX: -88% SUI: -87% ADA: -89% ENA: -95% TRUMP: -99% MELANIA: -99.8% Where did all the money go?

Brothers, $BTC is still not doing well, looking at the market makes me a bit anxious. The price is now around 63,500, the 4-hour chart is clearly weak, breaking below several moving averages, selling pressure remains. The daily chart is even more sideways, the ceiling above 65k is very strong, repeatedly failing to break through. Support is first seen at 63,500; if it holds, it can continue; if broken, the next stop points directly to 62k or even 60k. Resistance is at 65k-65,500, and higher is the 67k level. My personal feeling: don't rush to go long in the short term, if it rallies near 65k but fails to break through, you can try a light short position with a stop loss set a bit higher, targeting a pullback to 64k-63,500. More conservative traders should wait for the daily chart to truly hold above 65k before considering adding longs, or look short if support breaks. Range trading means selling high and buying low, with strict stop losses. This market really tests your mindset.

CPI & ETF Inflows: Two Catalysts That Could Decide Crypto's Next Move The crypto market is entering one of its most important periods of the month as two major catalysts converge: U.S. CPI inflation data (CPIToResetFedBets) and strong institutional inflows into Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs (BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge). Over the past week, U.S. Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have attracted approximately $1.1 billion in net inflows, signaling that institutional investors continue accumulating despite recent market uncertainty. This reinforces long-term confidence in $BTC and $ETH. The next major catalyst is the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), scheduled for release at 8:30 AM ET on August 12, 2026 (7:30 PM Vietnam time). As one of the Federal Reserve's key inflation indicators, the report could reshape interest-rate expectations. If CPI comes in below expectations, markets may strengthen expectations for Fed easing. A weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields would support risk assets, benefiting $BTC, $ETH, and major altcoins such as $SOL, $BNB, and $OKB. If CPI is higher than expected, expectations for higher rates for longer could pressure risk assets. Crypto may experience short-term volatility, although continued ETF inflows could help limit downside pressure. The market is now watching whether institutional demand can absorb any macro-driven selling. If ETF inflows remain positive after the CPI release, it would reinforce confidence that institutions are still positioning for crypto's long-term growth. The next few hours could reshape expectations for the Fed, the U.S. dollar, and the crypto market. With institutional capital and critical macroeconomic data colliding in the same session, volatility is likely to increase and could define the next trend for $BTC, $ETH, and the broader digital asset market. If you found this analysis helpful, follow me for timely updates and in-depth insights on Crypto, macroeconomics, and Wall Street trends. #CPIToResetFedBets #BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge #SKHynixNANDExpansion $BTC $ETH