
交易员海海呀
立志成为闻名全球的交易员 专业全职交易 5 年多 21 年 30 万--1500 万(凭运气赚的已亏光) 25 年 3 月和 11 月分别用 200 美金 20 天干到 4 万美金 200 倍收益率 9 年从业, 5 年专职交易。写了近 10 万字复盘笔记。 收徒弟,需要交学费。
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Reflections on 5 Years of Full-Time Trading
Since resigning from a central enterprise in April 2021 to trade full-time, it has now been a full 5 years. Since it's been five years, I thought I should write something to leave a record.
In these 5 years, I have devoted all my passion, time, and money.
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My schoolmate and comrade said I played a good hand terribly. I was a special forces soldier, the only one in our entire regiment who served 2 years and still joined the Party.
After discharge, I returned to school, transferring from our school's top architecture major to the tough civil engineering major. But by graduation, I was one of only two people who got hired by a certain central enterprise through my own efforts. (Because by the time our school recruited for this major, that central enterprise had already filled their quota; they hired two people, me and a classmate whose family elder was reportedly a retired senior provincial official).
Graduating from university with the honors of being a former special forces soldier, a national flag guard, a provincial outstanding graduate, and scoring over 500 on English CET-4 and CET-6, I entered a Fortune 500 central enterprise.
In the company, due to high emotional intelligence, good image, and sound cognition and logical thinking, I was well regarded by leadership. If things had continued on this path, I probably would have become a leader like my schoolmate and comrade.
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However, by a twist of fate, I entered the narrow gate of professional trading.
At the beginning of 2021, after earning my first ten-million-level fortune, I mistakenly thought trading was a profession that could be easily successful. Like most people, I became arrogant. Winning 1.5 million on one trade and losing 2 million on another didn’t faze me because I believed I was truly the chosen one, the god of trading. At this rate, even Buffett wouldn’t be on my radar.
From the second half of 2021, I started steadily losing money, tens of thousands at a time. I would lose, then chase, then hold on to profits without taking them, only to lose again before exiting.
At the start of 2022, I began to panic. First, because my funds were running low, almost depleted; second, I realized the technical indicators I had learned before seemed useless.
From 2022 to 2024, I began a new phase of my trading life, the second and third years, constantly writing review notes. Although they seem naive now, I believe this was my first step toward change.
By the end of 2024, I started to awaken, realizing that the MA, MACD, and other technical indicators I had painstakingly reviewed were useless and wrong. But at that time, I was still skeptical and gradually verifying my new understanding.
In the winter solstice of 2025, I truly reached enlightenment. I became very certain that short-term contract trading does not rely on various technical indicators but on volume, price, and structural breakout behavior. In 2025, I achieved twice turning $200 into $40,000 in 20 days, a 200x return. This gave me great confidence. I had just awakened to the fact that my spiritual guide in trading was the couch potato Bitcoin, who said in 2021 at A&A that trading correctness is unrelated to principal.
But why did I earn and then lose it back? One reason is economic pressure in real life; the second is lack of self-control. These two issues are still what I am striving to overcome.
When cognition reaches the correct dimension, unity of knowledge and action is effective. If cognition is wrong, unity of execution only compounds the error.
After saying so much, what I want to tell everyone is that trading ultimately comes down to volume, price, and structure. Don’t waste energy chasing some trading holy grail or deceptive technical indicators.
My trading has really come full circle and returned to basics: chase breakouts, stop loss on false breakouts. It really is that simple.
I don’t know how far this path will take me, but as long as I can keep going, I will walk it steadfastly and unwaveringly.
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Today is the Winter Solstice in the Chinese lunar calendar, an important milestone and a key milestone in Haihai's trading career!
Haihai, he truly attained enlightenment. Because I had broken through, I had always struggled to solve the last trading problem: how to resolve the contradiction between "controlling drawdown and tolerating drawdown."
This problem is now completely resolved. So in March-April and October-November this year, I made over 1,000 yuan twice, and in just over 20 days, I made over 200,000 yuan—a 200-fold profit, only to lose it back. All the drawbacks and shortcomings have been completely resolved by me.
Because my trading system is already finalized, I named it the structured trading system!
In the future, Haihai's trading myth and structured trading system will surely be talked about and widely shared. Let me praise this in advance!!!
My former self: 1. When I see a sharp rise or a sharp drop, I would feel impulsive inside.
2. I used to be afraid of missing out, afraid of missing out, afraid that this time would be the "single of fate"
Me now: 1. I know this stock "can't be moved right now."
2. I know I have to wait until he breaks out of that kind of structure before making a move.
3. After making a move, I know whether I am a "trial-and-error ticket," "relying on the main to upgrade," or "end-of-the-line gambling."
I have now completely shifted from emotion-driven to structure-driven!!!!
1. I know when I shouldn't do it: the structure isn't finished, the emotions remain, no mistakes made—this understanding solves my itchy problem!
2. I know when I can make mistakes! What we do is logical trial and error, not betting on direction! This understanding solved my problem of accepting losses and drawdowns!
3. I know how to take the move after making a move! Is it a sentiment pullback, structural reversal, or a major trend? This understanding solves the problem of which candlestick I should be nervous about and which should I ignore!!
One more thing for everyone: if you're still in the 'market is making me lose money' stage, it really means your understanding is almost zero. When you reach the stage of 'where did I make a mistake?' is your understanding starting to build up, and your trading is just getting started.
The above is excerpted from my Weibo post on December 25, 2025, Winter Solstice
Tonight's US July CPI Preview $BTC $ETH
This Wednesday at 8:30 PM, the US July CPI will be released, a key data point that will determine the pace of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts.
1. Inflation declines → rate cut expectations rise, benefiting US stocks, gold, Bitcoin, and other risk assets.
2. Inflation rebounds beyond expectations → rate cuts delayed, the US dollar strengthens, and high-valuation assets come under pressure.
Currently, Bitcoin's bullish momentum is weakening, and in this volatile market, the CPI is very likely to be the fuse that breaks the range.

Core of the event
The SEC will hold a meeting this Friday to discuss two sets of rules:
1. Customized issuance system for crypto investment contracts
2. New "innovation exemption" rules for security token trading, with two key additional constraints:
① Listed companies have the right to refuse their stocks being tokenized and traded on-chain by third parties
② Token trading platforms must be registered domestically in the U.S. and strengthen anti-money laundering supervision
Where are the benefits?
Overall, it leans towards institutional regulation, essentially meaning U.S. regulators are preparing to carve out a compliance pathway for "tokenized assets."
The market will interpret this as regulators no longer simply cracking down on crypto comprehensively, but preparing legislation to accept on-chain securities and tokenized finance, which is a medium- to long-term positive for Bitcoin market sentiment. Institutional funds will be more willing to allocate to the crypto sector.
There are two negative details hidden inside
1. Tighter regulation on security tokens: once defined as investment contracts (security tokens), the threshold will be significantly raised. Many small altcoins, if recognized by the SEC as securities, will face soaring compliance costs and increased survival pressure. This benefits the top-tier tokens but is negative for miscellaneous small tokens.
2. Platform requirements for U.S. registration and strong anti-money laundering mean that compliance pressure on overseas offshore exchanges will continue to rise.
Simple market scenario projection
• Short term: Positive sentiment before the news is finalized, easy to hype expectations, but currently it is only a proposal meeting, no legislation has been enacted yet, so avoid excessive buying at highs. Friday's meeting is just a discussion; there is still a long way before formal enforcement.
• Medium to long term pattern: Positive for BTC, ETH, which have bulk commodity attributes and are hard to be classified as securities; many small-cap altcoins will continue to be cleared out, and market differentiation will become increasingly severe.

$BTC short short short, living in the palace, brothers
$BTC Trust your own eyes, short
In the past ten days, Bitcoin has been consolidating and rising with extremely low volume
Although it’s not a horizontal convergence, the volume is extremely low
So it’s time to choose a direction
Before choosing, everyone was saying it’s time to pick a direction
Then yesterday closed with a downward high-volume bearish candle
Actually, this is the direction we’ve been hoping for
So let’s take it as the real direction
If you overthink, you really can’t trade








