Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

Live
Match in progress
4.5
Last updated on --.
No changeNo change
60%
25 bps increase25 bps increase
42%
25 bps decrease25 bps decrease
2%
Total Volume$43.23K
Markets5
Trading endsSep 17, 02:00

Probability over time

Fed Decision in September?
Fed Decision in September?
Current Selection
Amount
XP
Potential payout -- XP
The data displayed on this page is for reference purposes only and may not reflect real-time market conditions. Please refer to the final order confirmation for the latest odds and pricing.

Fed Decision in September? odds

OutcomeChanceChange (24h)Yes PriceNo Price
No change
60%+7.14%
25 bps increase
42%-4.55%
25 bps decrease
2%+0%
50+ bps increase
1%+0%
50+ bps decrease
1%+0%
The percentage shows the market’s estimated chance of that outcome — driven entirely by live trading, not set by OKX. A 60 reading means a Yes share costs 60¢. A correct Yes share returns 1xp at settlement; an incorrect one returns 0xp.

Fed Decision in September? outcome overview

Market Favourite
No change59% to win
Days to Start
12 DaysSep 17, 2026
Total Volume
$43.23K↑ 43.23Kxp today

Market rules

The Fed interest rate is defined in this market as the upper bound of the target federal funds range. Decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). This market resolves to the number of basis points by which the upper bound changes after the September 15–16, 2026 FOMC meeting versus its level immediately before that meeting. If the change is not represented by the displayed options, round the absolute size of the change upward in the direction of the change to the nearest 25 basis points and assign it to the relevant bracket (for example, a 12.5-basis-point cut or increase is treated as 25 basis points). The primary resolution source is the FOMC statement released after the meeting, according to the official calendar at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change may also be confirmed at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the statement containing the relevant decision is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled FOMC meeting, resolve to the No change bracket.

Resolution sources

Related markets

FAQ

Click any outcome row and the trading panel syncs automatically. Select Yes (think it’ll happen) or No (think it won’t happen), enter your amount, and tap place order. You’ll need a free OKX account. Each correct Yes share pays 60¢ at settlement. Open positions remain active until the market closes.
Yes — you can sell your shares at any time before trading closes on Sep 17, 2026. The sale price reflects the market at that moment and may be higher or lower than what you paid. Once trading closes, positions settle at resolution.

Disclaimer

No purchase or payment necessary. This campaign is a free points activity with no funds at risk. Not an offer/solicitation to buy, sell or hold digital assets, which are subject to volatility. Not all products are offered in all regions. T&Cs apply.
Fed Decision in September?
Fed Decision in September?
Current Selection
Amount
XP
Potential payout -- XP
The data displayed on this page is for reference purposes only and may not reflect real-time market conditions. Please refer to the final order confirmation for the latest odds and pricing.